Okay, this’ll be the last anti-BCS rant of the 2010 season. Before that, however, a couple of pieces of housecleaning:
- Regarding my tweet last week which read “(Eric Cartman voice) ‘I hate you, Kyle Brotzman. I hate you so very, very much.”: Given today’s uptight, “everything you say has the potential to incite a new Columbine/Oklahoma City” culture, not to mention the fact that the Kyle actually received threats this past week, I feel obligated to state that I WAS KIDDING. Although I’m still a little pissed that the Broncettes couldn’t bring home the BCS bacon; we Fresno State fans were REALLY counting on that check, fellas.
- Bruce Feldman last Saturday posted that part of the reason Boise lost was because they hadn’t been tested to that point, and therefore didn’t have the mental makeup to pull it out in a close game. I’ll go one step further: All of those easy wins may have given them an inflated sense of self-worth, especially by boat-racing my beloved ‘Dogs the week before. So Nevada, once again, You’re Welcome.
- An addendum to my last post about how much difference being in a strong conference makes: Witness the 5 teams left behind when the old SWC disbanded with the 4 teams that got left behind. Arkansas lucked out and landed on its feet in the SEC, and TCU recently finally stepped back into the AQ promised land with its recent move the Big East (more on that in a moment), but the other three- SMU, Rice, and Houston- never achieved half the accolades they did when part of that conference. And what attracts recruits, teams, etc. to a conference? The chance to play in a meaningful bowl game. No kid grows up dreaming of his team playing in the New Mexico Bowl. Well, with the possible exception of kids in the ‘No, where they could be forgiven for thinking it was the only bowl available, since it’s where Fresno State seems to end up every year. (The ‘Dogs perpetual relegation to the NM bowl reminds me of Spurrier’s old quip that you could spell “Citrus” [Bowl; now the Capital One Bowl, where the SEC's 2nd or 3rd best team historically goes] without “UT.” [University of Tennessee] There’s a joke in there somewhere, but it’s not hitting me at the moment.)
So on to the rant. Watching TCU’s defection to the Big East, it finally hit me what the tactics of the BCS remind me of: The browser wars of the late 90s-early Oughts. Like Microsoft, it has simply changed the terms of the game by packaging substandard programs (we’re looking at you, Big East) within their market-hogging monolithic operating system. And similar to Bill Gates business m.o., the BCS’ tactics have the binary simplicity of the Borg: Either you will be assimilated (Utah, TCU) or annihilated (pretty much every one else). I remember casually following the Netscape-Internet Explorer dual as it inevitably moved from the marketplace to the courts, where Microsoft dragged out the proceedings until Netscape effectively had been marginalized to where, even as they won the battle, they lost the war.
So it is now with the non-AQ conferences. Realistically, the BCS is playing a zero-sum game, with even some of its own conferences being squeezed (we’re looking at you again, John Marinatto). Looking at a number of factors, not the least of which are viability of media markets, schools which exist in rich recruiting areas (a HUGE factor in the Big East’s acquisition of TCU), and historical relevance vis a vis appearing semi-regularly in the Top 25, there are to my thinking only two conferences that stand a chance of getting promoted up to The Bigs: The Mountain West and Conference USA. The other conferences- the MAC, the Sun Belt, and the now depleted WAC- simply have not been relevant at the FBS level in this decade, and are not likely to be any time soon.
However, it’s not time for the MWC and Conference USA to break out the party hats. The Borg-like assimilation of both conferences’ best teams are likely to continue, which means that, it’s far more likely that they will be raided and thereby marginalized than eventually meeting the criteria to become AQ conferences. To be more specific, I think it’s only a matter of time that the Pac 12 is successful in courting Texas and Oklahoma. Once they go, the Big 12 will have no choice but to steal teams from the MWC and C-USA conferences to stay viable. If, say, the Dallas and Houston schools, as well as Boise State, end up in the Big 12, that would effectively neuter the Mountain West and Conference USA to the point that they would most likely be relegated to the MAC/Sun Belt level of college football: FBS conferences in name only.
To be clear, I am hoping, I am praying, I am sacrificing a Chik-Fil-A sandwich on my Lee Corso Commemorative Alter that I’m wrong and that both conferences eventually are accepted as automatic qualifiers (in truth, I hope that before 2020, college football will adopt a playoff system, but I relegate such pipe dreams to the same dreamland where money grows on trees and the streams and rivers flow with Sierra Nevada Pale Ale). But it’s like my father says: Hope in one hand, s*** in the other. See which one fills up first. And nobody s***s on the little guy like the Bulls*** Creation Series.
